previsiones eurostat

la mejor posición relativa de nuestro país en términos de deuda sobre PIB. Mientras que en naciones como Italia o Grecia el endeudamiento público se sitúa en niveles superiores al 115%, en el caso español tal porcentaje se reduce al 53,2% -ver cuadro completo de Eurostat-.


 Provision of deficit and debt data for 2009 - first notification
Euro area and EU27 government deficit at 6.3% and 6.8% of GDP respectively
Government debt at 78.7% and 73.6%
In 2009, the government deficit1 and government debt1 of both the euro area2 (EA16) and the EU27 increased compared with 2008, while GDP fell. In the euro area the government deficit to GDP ratio increased from 2.0% in 20083 to 6.3% in 2009, and in the EU27 from 2.3% to 6.8%. In the euro area the government debt to GDP ratio increased from 69.4% at the end of 2008 to 78.7% at the end of 2009, and in the EU27 from 61.6% to 73.6%.
2006
2007
2008
2009
Euro area (EA16)
GDP market prices (mp)
(million euro)
8 553 600
9 003 902
9 258 895
8 977 933
Government deficit (-) / surplus (+)
(million euro)
-112 048
-55 723
-181 176
-565 111
(% of GDP)
-1.3
-0.6
-2.0
-6.3
Government expenditure
(% of GDP)
46.7
46.0
46.8
50.7
Government revenue
(% of GDP)
45.3
45.4
44.9
44.4
Government debt
(million euro)
5 842 888
5 940 433
6 424 615
7 062 625
(% of GDP)
68.3
66.0
69.4
78.7
EU27
GDP mp
(million euro)
11 682 471
12 364 567
12 500 094
11 804 734
Government deficit (-) / surplus (+)
(million euro)
-167 687
-103 584
-285 685
-801 866
(% of GDP)
-1.4
-0.8
-2.3
-6.8
Government expenditure
(% of GDP)
46.3
45.7
46.9
50.7
Government revenue
(% of GDP)
44.9
44.9
44.6
44.0
Government debt
(million euro)
7 172 706
7 265 256
7 697 027
8 690 304
(% of GDP)
61.4
58.8
61.6
73.6
In 2009 the largest government deficits in percentage of GDP were recorded by Ireland (-14.3%), Greece (-13.6%) the United Kingdom (-11.5%), Spain (-11.2%), Portugal (-9.4%), Latvia (-9.0%), Lithuania (-8.9%), Romania (-8.3%), France (-7.5%) and Poland (-7.1%). No Member State registered a government surplus in 2009. The lowest deficits were recorded by Sweden (-0.5%), Luxembourg (-0.7%) and Estonia (-1.7%). In all, 25 Member States recorded a worsening in their government balance relative to GDP in 2009 compared with 2008, and two (Estonia and Malta) an improvement.
At the end of 2009, the lowest ratios of government debt to GDP were recorded in Estonia (7.2%), Luxembourg (14.5%), Bulgaria (14.8%), Romania (23.7%), Lithuania (29.3%) and the Czech Republic (35.4%). Twelve Member States had government debt ratios higher than 60% of GDP in 2009: Italy (115.8%), Greece (115.1%), Belgium (96.7%), Hungary (78.3%), France (77.6%), Portugal (76.8%), Germany (73.2%), Malta (69.1%), the United Kingdom (68.1%), Austria (66.5%), Ireland (64.0%) and the Netherlands (60.9%).
In 2009, government expenditure4 in the euro area was equivalent to 50.7% of GDP and government revenue4 to 44.4%. The figures for the EU27 were 50.7% and 44.0% respectively. In both zones, the government expenditure ratio increased between 2008 and 2009, while the government revenue ratio decreased.
Reservations on reported data5
Greece: Eurostat is expressing a reservation on the quality of the data reported by Greece, due to uncertainties on the surplus of social security funds for 2009, on the classification of some public entities and on the recording of off-market swaps. Following completion of the investigations that Eurostat is undertaking on these issues in cooperation with the Greek Statistical Authorities, this could lead to a revision for the year 2009 of the order of 0.3 to 0.5 percentage points of GDP for the deficit and 5 to 7 percentage points of GDP for the debt.
Amendment by Eurostat to reported data6
United Kingdom: Eurostat has amended the deficit data notified by the United Kingdom for the years 2006 to 2009 for consistency of recording of UMTS licences proceeds in 2000. This leads to an increase in the government deficit in 2007 and 2008 (as well as for financial year 2007/2008, 2008/2009 and 2009/2010) by 1044 mn GBP (0.1% of GDP) and in 2006 and 2009 (financial year 2006/2007) by 1045 mn GBP (0.1% of GDP). There is no change in the reported debt figures.
Other issues
Publication of supplementary tables for the financial crisis:
Eurostat publishes in Annex 2, as in the October 2009 EDP News Release, supplementary tables for the financial crisis for the euro area and the EU27. These tables contain data on the "net revenue/cost for general government (impact on ESA95 government deficit)" and "outstanding amounts of assets, actual liabilities and contingent liabilities of government" in relation to government interventions in the context of the financial turmoil for the years 2007 to 2009. Eurostat also publishes, on its web site
(http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/portal/page/portal/government_finance_statistics/excessive_deficit/supplementary_tables_financial_turmoil), a summary table and tables for individual Member States. See also the Eurostat decision on the statistical recording of public interventions to support financial institutions and financial markets during the financial crisis (Eurostat News Release 103/2009 of 15 July 2009).
Background
In this News Release, Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union, is providing7 government deficit and debt data based on figures reported in the first 2010 notification by EU Member States for the years 2006-2009, for the application of the excessive deficit procedure (EDP). This notification is based on the ESA95 system of national accounts. This News Release also includes data on government expenditure and revenue and an annex with the main revisions since the October 2009 News Release.
Eurostat will also be releasing information on the underlying government sector accounts, as well as on the contribution of deficit/surplus and other relevant factors to the variation in the debt level (stock-flow adjustment), on the government finance statistics section on its website:
http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/portal/page/portal/government_finance_statistics/introduction